Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.651994 1.906138 2.180619 2.498387 2.855394 3.243342 3.696040
2024-10-27 1.262255 1.614856 2.029438 2.549570 3.181080 3.919178 4.843020
2024-11-03 0.992333 1.392835 1.900502 2.583236 3.468296 4.566897 6.022301
2024-11-10 0.791221 1.208606 1.774737 2.584215 3.694746 5.145453 7.160638
2024-11-17 0.631773 1.044604 1.640732 2.541853 3.842150 5.618596 8.189590
2024-11-24 0.508632 0.906543 1.515808 2.485147 3.949337 6.031323 9.155498
2024-12-01 0.429375 0.819669 1.449804 2.499091 4.148956 6.577712 10.337035
2024-12-08 0.359828 0.734555 1.371352 2.478772 4.287001 7.036036 11.414324
2024-12-15 0.317894 0.689248 1.349715 2.542881 4.555897 7.702054 12.836024
2024-12-22 0.274347 0.632300 1.298714 2.548956 4.727028 8.223823 14.065188
2024-12-29 0.252249 0.612972 1.311423 2.664437 5.085937 9.061510 15.832593
2025-01-05 0.229510 0.587914 1.309300 2.751199 5.400015 9.843329 17.552426
2025-01-12 0.196285 0.535159 1.248905 2.728227 5.528378 10.341925 18.869993
2025-01-19 0.175277 0.506056 1.232114 2.786837 5.809208 11.118298 20.698680
2025-01-26 0.155192 0.474925 1.206502 2.824733 6.054374 11.848913 22.493934
2025-02-02 0.135158 0.439374 1.165786 2.826486 6.229801 12.466500 24.129181
2025-02-09 0.114950 0.398421 1.106304 2.781018 6.307775 12.911775 25.485998
2025-02-16 0.096947 0.358903 1.043516 2.719860 6.346993 13.285372 26.732229
2025-02-23 0.085535 0.335829 1.016777 2.734995 6.540952 13.956127 28.546238
2025-03-02 0.073963 0.309075 0.976250 2.713057 6.654225 14.478240 30.111861
2025-03-09 0.067700 0.298035 0.974849 2.782371 6.965363 15.396358 32.453057
2025-03-16 0.059778 0.279048 0.948871 2.788943 7.139942 16.055768 34.337814
2025-03-23 0.056726 0.276943 0.969746 2.913732 7.584899 17.275021 37.343614